As the Egyptian problems continue, it is evident that the entire Middle East is fearful of the idea that a "domino effect" could occur. Tunisia was the first domino and now Egypt is tittering on total collapse. King Abdullah of Jordan has basically fired his cabinet and the President of Yemen has already stated that he will end his reign. There are also stirrings in Algeria, but I'm sure every country in the region is watching closely.
These leaders are trying to push the dominoes the other way. They are trying to put out the flames of possible chaos. They may success, but the embers will simmer for a long time and they all must be proactive when listening to the demands of their people.
For those who are over 40, you remember when the dominoes fell with the collapse of the Berlin Wall. That was a great day for democracy to shine and we were certain that we would see free elections in those nations that suffered behind the Iron Curtain. Most of those nations who lamented under the Communist system for over 40 years, have prospered and many of them are even a part of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO.)
If we look at all the countries in the Middle East prior to 9/11 we will see that almost every nation has some form of dictatorship. From right to left on the map: Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, and Algeria.
Since 9/11, Afghanistan and Iraq are still fighting for their democracy and that is still to be determined, but in the other countries it is business as usual. Strong leaders who hold all the power. Now with Egypt erupting, these same leaders are watching for the dominoes!
Should we, as a democracy, be overjoyed at these events taking place in Egypt? On the surface. we watch in anticipation for one of the great nations of the world to banish a dictatorship and embrace liberty and freedom. All the news outlets are saying the same thing. Glorifying the Egyptian people and feeling their hopes and dreams for their future.
If the dominoes do fall, what kinds of governments will take the place of what has fallen? How much more clout will Iran have? A nuclear Iran will also have the leverage to dictate. Will extremists rule?
Yes, we should applaud the might of the Egyptian people but what type of government will take its place and what other countries will be effected is a question that must still be answered.
The answer to this question may tilt the power balance in the region and create more problems. The future holds many questions. Additionally, we will see if moderate Islam prevails or the religion is hijacked by extremists?
What we hope for may in turn be what we also dread.